Stochastic Behavior-based Load Simulator (LoadSim)

US REGEN infographic

LoadSim is used to construct highly-resolved (sub-hourly) estimates of residential demand based on assumptions around customer behavior. LoadSim employs a bottom-up modeling approach in which the characteristics of the home, its individual end-uses (appliances, lighting, etc.), and the behavior of its occupants are evaluated in tandem. Occupant behavior is modeled using data from the American Time Use Survey (ATUS) to create a statistically consistent representation of how customers interact with major residential end-uses. ATUS data is used to construct Markov chains for a variety of occupant types and defined activity categories, which are simulated using the Monte Carlo method of repeated random sampling. To estimate energy consumption, LoadSim utilizes detailed physics-based characterizations of major residential end-uses and their interactions with customers and external environmental conditions. Applications of this modeling framework include load shape estimation, distribution/secondary system design, and demand flexibility evaluation.

LoadSim is supported by EPRI’s Electrification and Sustainable Energy Strategy sector and by EPRI’s Energy Systems and Climate Analysis group.

Contact

Brandon Johnson bjjohnson@epri.com

EPRI Reports

Product ID Name Published Type
3002018707 Residential Behavior Based End-Use Modeling: 2020 Technology Innovation Project Dec 31st, 2020 White Paper
3002030047 Program on Technology Innovation: Modeling Residential Demand with LoadSim Dec 19th, 2024 White Paper