Robin Bedilion is a Principal Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Ms. Bedilion conducts technoeconomic analyses and cost and performance research evaluating current and emerging power sector technologies to support utility resource planning and EPRI's energy-economy modeling efforts.
Prior to joining the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis group, Ms. Bedilion was most recently in EPRI's Renewable Generation program, where her research focused on Renewables Economics, including current and projected capital, O&M, and levelized costs of electricity of renewable generation resources, as well as emerging technology trends and business models. She also worked in EPRI's Technology Innovation program where she was responsible for coordinating and conducting EPRI's Thought Leadership activities and was involved in EPRI's Innovation Scouting activities. She joined EPRI in 2007 as a project engineer in EPRI's Generation sector, supporting engineering and economic evaluations under EPRI's Technical Assessment Guide (TAG), CoalFleet, and Renewables programs.
Ms. Bedilion earned a bachelor's degree in mechanical engineering from Santa Clara University and a master's degree in mechanical engineering with a focus on energy systems from Stanford University.
Dr. John Bistline is a Program Manager in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). His research analyzes the economic and environmental effects of policy and technological development to inform energy systems planning and company strategy. Dr. Bistline's current research activities examine renewable integration, energy storage modeling, electrification, and the impacts of federal and state climate policies. He is a contributing author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group III chapter on energy systems.
Before joining EPRI, he worked for the Energy Modeling Forum and the Steyer-Taylor Center for Energy Policy and Finance at Stanford University. His dissertation focused on uncertainty analysis in the electric power sector and investigated questions related to capacity planning and R&D portfolio management. He also worked on projects in areas of climate policy, technological change, uncertainty quantification, and risk assessment.
Dr. Bistline earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Mechanical Engineering and Engineering and Public Policy from Carnegie Mellon University, a Master of Science degree in Mechanical Engineering, and a doctorate in Management Science and Engineering from Stanford University.
- Bistline, J., N. Abhyankar, G. Blanford, L. Clarke, R. Fakhry, H. McJeon, J. Reilly, C. Roney, T. Wilson, M. Yuan, and A. Zhao (2022): “Actions for Reducing U.S. Emissions at Least 50% by 2030” (Science)
- Bistline, J., R. Bedilion, N. S. Goteti, and N. Kern (2022): “Implications of Variations in Renewable Cost Projections for Electric Sector Decarbonization in the United States” (iScience)
- Bistline, J. and G. Blanford (2021). Impact of Carbon Dioxide Removal Technologies on Deep Decarbonization of the Electric Power Sector. Nature Communications, 12: 3732.
- Bistline, J. (2021). Variability in Deeply Decarbonized Electricity Systems. Environmental Science & Technology, 55(9): 5629-5635.
- Bistline, J., M. Budolfson, and B. Francis (2021). Deepening Transparency about Value-Laden Assumptions in Energy and Environmental Modelling: Improving Best Practices for Both Modellers and Non-Modellers. Climate Policy, 21(1): 1-15.
- Bistline, J. and D. Young (2020). Emissions Impacts of Future Battery Storage Deployment on Regional Power Systems. Applied Energy, 264: 114678.
Dr. Geoffrey J. Blanford is a leading expert on integrated assessment and energy economy modeling.
His research activities include development of analytical tools such as the MERGE model and the US-REGEN model with applications including electricity markets, end-use electrification, and international climate policy.
Dr. Blanford is a Technical Executive and Program Manager for Energy and Climate Policy Analysis with the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) in Palo Alto, CA, where he has worked since 2006. He was a lead author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report and serves as co-director of the International Energy Workshop (IEW). He holds a B.A. in mathematics from Yale University, a M.S. in operations research from Columbia University, and a Ph.D. in management science and engineering from Stanford University.
- Bistline, J.E. and G.J. Blanford, 2016. More than one arrow in the quiver: Why "100% Renewables" misses the mark. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
- Blanford, G.J, J.H. Merrick, and D. Young, 2014. A Clean Energy Standard Analysis with the US-REGEN Model. The Energy Journal 35, pp 137-164,
- Blanford, G.J, E. Kriegler, and M. Tavoni, 2014. Harmonization vs. Fragmentation: An Overview of Climate Policy Scenarios in EMF27. Climatic Change 123, pp 383-396.
Steven Dahlke is an Engineer/Scientist III in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute, supporting EPRI’s research on integrated planning for decarbonization and linking electric sector planning models.
Prior to joining EPRI, Steven was a Senior Economist at the Colorado Public Utilities Commission, where he worked on regulatory matters including electric resource planning, rate case proceedings, economic development, power plant and renewable energy economics, regional energy markets, and more. He has over a decade of experience in the energy sector across non-profit, research, and government sectors. Steven holds a Ph.D. in Mineral and Energy Economics from the Colorado School of Mines, and a B.A. in Environmental Studies from St. John’s University.
- Dahlke & Morjaria, (2020). The Economics of Flexible Solar for Electricity Markets in Transition, 2020, Technical Report, First Solar.
- Jiang, O’Neill, Zoraghein, & Dahlke, (2020). Population Scenarios for US states consistent with shared socioeconomic pathways. Environmental Research Letters.
- Mosovsky & Dahlke, (2020). Retail Rate Structures for Electric Distribution Networks in Transition: A Case for Automation. IAEE Energy Forum.
- Dahlke & Prorok (2019). Consumer Savings, Price and Emissions Impacts of Increasing Demand Response in the Midcontinent Electricity Market. The Energy Journal.
Adam Diamant is a Technical Executive in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis group. Currently, Mr. Diamant leads EPRI’s research and technical support related to corporate greenhouse gas emissions accounting and emissions offsets and provides analysis supporting EPRI’s research on emissions trading and related energy and climate policy research. For the past five years, Mr. Diamant managed research Program 178 on Resource Planning for Electric Power Systems. This program is focused on developing new, innovative methods and approaches to address emerging analytic challenges to long-term integrated energy system planning and improving understanding of the economic cost and technical performance of power generation and energy storage technologies.
Mr. Diamant's current research addresses evolving electric company resource planning challenges related to supporting including the rapid deployment of renewable and distributed energy resources (DER). His work focuses on developing more closely integrated generation, transmission, distribution planning processes and methods. Mr. Diamant develops manages multi-year research projects, data and information, and improves analytic tools and methods electric companies use to make strategic decisions to respond to the ongoing evolution of fuel and power markets and climate policies.
Prior to joining EPRI, Mr. Diamant was a career professional staff member in the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in the Executive Office of the President of the United States, where he was responsible for oversight of all regulatory programs of the U.S. Department of the Interior and the U.S. Forest Service. Mr. Diamant earned a bachelor's degree from the University of California, Berkeley, and a master’s degree in Public Policy from the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University. He has received several professional awards recognizing his outstanding performance at OMB and EPRI; including being a past recipient of a Presidential Management Internship (PMIP) and EPRI’s Chauncey Award.
- Diamant, A., Young, D., and Wan, Y., 2016. REGEN Scenarios Analysis: Understanding Key Factors That May Impact Future Electricity Generation, EPRI Report 3002005839.
- Diamant, A., Young, D., Holmes C., Pabi, S., and Bistline, J., 2016. Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions Associated with Large-Scale End-Use Energy Efficiency Projects, EPRI Report 3002005589.
- Kahrl, F., Ryan, N. and Diamant, A, 2015. Integrating Distributed Energy Resources into Electricity Resource Planning: Current Practices and Emerging Issues. EPRI Report 3002005838.
Dr. Delavane Diaz is a Principal Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) where her research focuses on the implications of climate and energy policy on the electric sector, resiliency and risk management strategies, and the social cost of carbon.
She returned to EPRI from pursuing her doctorate at Stanford University, where she worked as a research assistant for the Energy Modeling Forum. Her dissertation examined the representation of climate impacts, adaptation, and mitigation technology costs in integrated assessment models, with a focus on coastal vulnerability and sea level rise. Before joining EPRI, she served as an Air Force acquisitions officer, working on a space surveillance radar program at Hanscom AFB in Massachusetts.
Dr. Diaz is a graduate of the U.S. Air Force Academy with a Bachelor of Science degree in Astronautical Engineering and earned a Master of Science degree in Environmental Change and Management at the University of Oxford as a Rhodes Scholar.
- Diaz, Delavane and F Moore, 2017. Quantifying the Economic Risks of Climate Change. Nature Climate Change, 7(11): 1-9.
- Rose, S, Delavane Diaz and G Blanford, 2017. Understanding the Social Cost of Carbon: A Model Diagnostic and Inter-comparison Study. Climate Change Economics, 8(2): 1-28.
- Diaz, Delavane, 2016. Estimating global damages from sea level rise with the Coastal Impact and Adaptation Model (CIAM). Climatic Change, 137: 143-156.
- Diaz, Delavane, and K Keller. 2016. "A potential disintegration of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet: Implications for economic analyses of climate policy." American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, 106 (5): 607-611.
Laura Fischer is a Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). At EPRI, Ms. Fischer supports research on climate impacts and resiliency in the context of the electric power sector as well as electrification, decarbonization, and greenhouse gas emissions accounting. Prior to joining EPRI, she was an ORISE Fellow with the Climate Change Adaptation staff at the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), where she researched the impact of climate change on EPA programs and identified adaptation strategies being implemented to mitigate these impacts. Ms. Fischer's initial interest in climate impacts and resiliency emerged from her experience working in preparedness and disaster services for the American Red Cross of Alaska.
Ms. Fischer holds a Master of Science with Distinction in Environmental Change and Management from the University of Oxford and a Bachelor of Arts in Government from Georgetown University. Her dissertation at Oxford explored the relevance of extreme weather event attribution to long-term planning for disaster risk reduction.
- Fischer, L., and Young, D. 2019. National Implications of Utility CO2 Targets. EPRI Report 3002017293.
- Electrification Scenarios for New York's Energy Future. 2020. EPRI Report 3002017940.
- Fischer, L., and Diamant, A. 2020. Case Studies of 10 Integrated Energy Network Planning Challenges – Volume 2. EPRI Report 3002017669.
- Fischer, L., and Diaz, D. 2018. Technical Assessment of Resiliency Metrics and Analytical Frameworks. EPRI Report 3002014571.
- West Fischer, L. 2019. At water's edge: Motivations for floodplain occupation. In Flood Risk Management: Global Case Studies of Governance, Policy and Communities. London: Routledge.
Todd Gorgian is an Engineer/Scientist III in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). At EPRI, Mr. Gorgian supports research on the cost and performance of energy systems to support electric company resource planning and strategic decision making.
Mr. Gorgian's current research includes evaluating and applying endogenous learning curves and assessing technology supply chain risks to better understand future costs of current and emerging energy technologies. Prior to joining the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group in a full-time capacity, Mr. Gorgian led research on metrics and tools to benchmark electric company sustainability performance, electric sector sustainability and decarbonization goals, and next-generation sustainability metrics for strategic decision making in EPRI's Strategic Sustainability Science program.
Prior to joining EPRI as a Student Employee in 2018, Mr. Gorgian was an intern at Sustainable Capital Advisors, where he performed research on state energy policy and conducted analysis to support the implementation of community solar and renewable energy projects across the United States. Mr. Gorgian holds a Bachelor of Science in Environmental Science and Policy, with a concentration in environmental economics, as well as a Master of Professional Studies in Applied Economics from the University of Maryland College Park.
- Assessment of Supply-Side Capital Costs as a Function of Future Capacity Scenarios: Endogenous Learning for Renewable and Gas Technologies. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2021. 3002021213.
- Gas Turbine Market Insights. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2021. 3002023164.
- Endogenous Learning for Projecting Future Capital Costs – Evaluation and Implications for Electric Power Generation Technologies. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2020. 3002019786.
- Next Generation Sustainability Metrics: Establishing a Foundation for Understanding and Measuring Impact. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2020. 3002019245.
- Evaluating the Potential Impact of Higher Construction Craft Labor Costs on the Capital Costs of New Electric Power Generating Units: A Technology Assessment Guide Associated Program Study. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2019. 3002013752.
Dr. Naga Srujana Goteti is a Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Her research areas are building algorithmic solutions and policy simulation tools using primary/secondary data analyses, linear/nonlinear optimization, econometrics, and engineering principles in the energy and power system's world. She currently works on long-term resource planning, electricity system policies, and cost & performance of various energy systems. Before joining EPRI, Dr. Goteti pursued postdoctoral research at MIT Energy Initiative. During this time, she focused on the techno-economic assessment of macro energy systems and capacity expansion modeling for the utilities. Also, she has experience working in various positions in energy consulting, national laboratory, oil and gas, and IT industries in the US, Thailand, and India.
She holds a Bachelor of Engineering in Electrical and Electronics from Jawaharlal Nehru Technological University, Masters in Energy from Asian Institute of Technology, and a doctorate in Sustainability Studies from Rochester Institute of Technology, NY./p>
- Naga Srujana Goteti, Eric Hittinger, Brian Sergi, Inês Lima Azevedo (2021). "How does new energy storage affect the operation and revenue of existing generation?",Applied Energy (285).
- Kasseris, Emmanuel, Naga Srujana Goteti, Sapna Kumari, Bentley Clinton, Seiji Engelkemier, Sarah Torkamani, Tevita Akau, and Emre Gençer (2020). "Highlighting and Overcoming Data Barriers: Creating Open Data for Retrospective Analysis of US Electric Power Systems by Consolidating Publicly Available Sources." Environmental Research Communications (2).
- Goteti, Naga Srujana, Eric Hittinger, and Eric Williams (2019). "How Much Wind and Solar Are Needed to Realize Emissions Benefits from Storage?" Energy Systems (10:437-449).
- Goteti, Naga Srujana (2019). "Adding Renewables to the Grid: Effects of Storage and Stochastic Forecasting." RIT PhD thesis.
Dr. Nils Johnson is a Principal Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). He applies expertise in techno-economic analysis, operations research, and geographic information systems (GIS) to identify insights and strategies for long-term energy system transitions. His current research areas include assessing the roles of emerging technologies, such as renewables, energy storage, and carbon capture and sequestration (CCS), understanding the implications of state and federal policies for energy transitions, and exploring opportunities for demand-side management (DSM). He also leads ongoing modeling efforts in several countries in Asia.
Before joining EPRI, he worked in the Energy Program at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Austria. At IIASA, Dr. Johnson examined the implications of delayed climate policy for energy transitions, renewable energy integration challenges, and integrated strategies for managing water, energy, and land resources.
He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Political Science from Haverford College, a Master of Environmental Management and a Master of Forestry from Duke University, and a doctorate in Transportation Technology and Policy from the University of California at Davis, specializing in energy systems analysis.
- Sanchez, D.L., N. Johnson, S. McCoy, P.A. Turner, and K.J. Mach. 2018. Near-term Deployment of Carbon Capture and Sequestration from Biorefineries in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), 201719695.
- McPherson, M., N. Johnson, and M. Strubegger. 2018. The Role of Electricity Storage and Hydrogen Technologies in Enabling Global Low-carbon Energy Transitions. Applied Energy, 216: 649-661.
- Johnson N., M. Strubegger, M. McPherson, S.C. Parkinson, V. Krey, and P. Sullivan. 2017. A Reduced-form Approach for Representing the Impacts of Wind and Solar PV Deployment on the Structure and Operation of the Electricity System. Energy Economics, 64: 651-664.
- Kyle, P., N. Johnson, E. Davies, D.L. Bijl, I. Mouratiadou, M. Bevione, L. Drouet, S. Fujimori, Y. Liu, and M. Hejazi. 2016. Setting the System Boundaries of "Energy for Water" for Integrated Modeling. Environmental Science and Technology, 50(17): 8930-8931.
- Johnson, N., V. Krey, D. McCollum, S. Rao, K. Riahi, and J. Rogelj. 2015. Stranded on a Low-carbon Planet: Implications of Climate Policy for the Phase-out of Coal-based Power Plants. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90 (Part A): 89-102.
Dr. Daniel Kirk-Davidoff is a Senior Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). His research focuses on the impact of anthropogenic climate change on the electric power system, as well as on the particular sensitivities of renewable generation technologies to climate and weather extremes. In addition, he works on improved simulation of renewable generation in planning for future electrical grids.
Before joining EPRI, he worked as faculty member at the University of Maryland, where he developed observational strategies for satellite climate monitoring missions, did climate modeling research on paleoclimate phenomena including the Messinian Desiccation and Eocene polar warmth, and in private industry, where he developed forecasting systems for wind and solar generation combining numerical weather prediction, satellite image processing and machine learning, and led the development of a modernization plan for the Uganda National Meteorological Authority.
Dr. Kirk-Davidoff earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Geology and Geophysics at Yale College, and a doctorate in Meteorology from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
- N. Zen, K. Jiang, P.Han, Z. Hausfather, J.Cao, D Kirk-Davidoff, S. Ali, S. Zhou, (2022). The Chinese Carbon-Neutral Goal: Challenges and Prospects. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, doi:10.1007/s00376-021-1313-6
- O.A. Dabar, M.O. Awaleh, D. Kirk-Davidoff, J. Olauson, L. Söder, SI Awaleh, (2019). Wind resource assessment and economic analysis for electricity generation in three locations of the Republic of Djibouti, Energy 185: 884-894, doi: 10.106/j.energy.2019.07.107
- Y. Li, E. Kalnay, S. Motesharrei, J. Rivas, F. Kucharski, D. Kirk-Davidoff, (2018). Climate model shows large-scale wind and solar farms in the Sahara increase rain and vegetation, Science 361(6406):1019-1022, doi: 10.1126/science.aar5629
- Complete list available here
Neil Kern is a Principal Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Mr. Kern manages EPRI's Technology Cost and Performance program which includes the Technology Assessment Guide Web (TAGWeb™) software used widely to conduct technology cost and performance data development for integrated resource planning in the United States and internationally.
Mr. Kern's research focuses on the developing power generation and energy storage cost and performance data for mature, developing, and emerging technologies. This technology research works to align power generation technologies with the utility industry's move toward sustainability and greenhouse gas reductions. The information supports strategic decision making in response to the continuous evolution in generation and storage technology capabilities, market conditions, and environmental policy.
He spent the first ten years of his career at Duke Energy where he served in multiple roles within engineering, regulatory strategy, planning, research and development, and project management. While at Duke Energy, he served on several industry steering committees and advisory boards. Mr. Kern earned a bachelor's degree from North Carolina State University in Chemical Engineering and a master's degree in Economics from West Virginia University. He also is a registered Professional Engineer.
- Cost of Cycling Phase II: A Technology Assessment Guide Associated Program Study. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2019. 3002016563.
- Evaluating the Potential Impact of Higher Construction Craft Labor Costs on the Capital Costs of New Electric Power Generating Units: A Technology Assessment Guide Associated Program Study. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2019. 3002013572.
- Combine Cycle Plant Lifecycle Management: Engineering and Economic Considerations for O&M Planning Staff. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2019. 3002017532.
Dr. Jonathan Lala is an Engineer/Scientist II the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). His research focuses on hydroclimatic risks to resource systems across the food-energy-water nexus. At EPRI, Dr. Lala supports research on the resilience of energy systems in the face of climatic variability and change. His dissertation considered the role of subseasonal and seasonal climate forecasts in natural disaster management.
Before joining EPRI, Dr. Lala worked on a range of projects related to climate risk and natural disasters. He served as a consultant for the World Bank on climate-resilience investments for water and hydropower infrastructure in Tanzania, conducted academic research on flood risk in high mountain Asia, and served as a volunteer on resilient infrastructure projects in Peru, India, and Panama.
Dr. Lala received a Bachelor of Science in Civil Engineering and a Master of Science in Environmental and Water Resources Engineering from the University of Texas at Austin, and a PhD in Civil Engineering from the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
- Lala, J., Bazo, J., Anand, V., and Block, P. (2021). Optimizing forecast-based actions for extreme rainfall events. Climate Risk Management, 34, 100374
- Lala, J., Yang, M., Wang, G., and Block, P. (2021). Utilizing rainy season onset predictions to enhance maize yields in Ethiopia. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (5)
- Lala, J., Tilahun, S., and Block, P. (2020). Predicting rainy season onset in the Ethiopian Highlands for agricultural planning. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 21, 1675-1688
- Lala, J., Rounce, D. R., and McKinney, D. C. (2018). Modeling the glacial lake outburst flood process chain in the Nepal Himalaya: reassessing Imja Tsho’s hazard. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 3721-3737
Francisco Ralston Fonseca is an Engineer/Scientist III in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI).
Before joining EPRI, Francisco worked as a Researcher at the department of Engineering and Public Policy (EPP) at Carnegie Mellon University (CMU), where he focused on modeling and analyzing climate-induced impacts in the power sector. Francisco also worked for seven years as an energy analyst at Power System Research (PSR), a provider of technological solutions and consulting services for the energy sector in Brazil. At PSR, Francisco worked with regulatory and economic-financial analysis of generation assets, and the development of decision-support models used for energy auction bidding and for optimization of renewable energy portfolios in Brazil.
Francisco holds a BS and MS in Electrical Engineering at PUC-Rio (Brazil), a MS in Operations Research at Columbia University, and a PhD in Engineering and Public Policy at CMU.
- Ralston Fonseca F, Craig M, Jaramillo P, Bergés M, Severnini E, Loew A, Zhai H, Cheng Y, Nijssen B, Voisin N, Yearsley J. Effects of Climate Change on Capacity Expansion Decisions of an Electricity Generation Fleet in the Southeast U.S. Environ Sci Technol. 2021 Feb 16;55(4):2522-2531. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.0c06547.
- Ralston Fonseca, F., Jaramillo, P., Bergés, M. et al. Seasonal effects of climate change on intra-day electricity demand patterns. Climatic Change 154, 435–451 (2019).
Chris Roney is an Engineer/Scientist III in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). At EPRI, his current research includes integrated modeling of economy-wide policy and end-use electrification dynamics, electric sector decarbonization, and bioenergy technology pathways for emissions reduction. He specializes in evaluating U.S. and Canadian decarbonization challenges and opportunities. Prior to joining EPRI, he was a Research Associate at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory's Joint Global Change Research Institute, where he researched the effects of deep decarbonization policies, evaluated the evolution of the transport system under electrification scenarios, and analyzed global climate impacts on the food system.
Mr. Roney holds a Master of Science with Distinction in Environmental Change and Management from the University of Oxford and a Bachelor of Arts in Philosophy from Swarthmore College. For his dissertation at Oxford, he created a dynamic, recursive integrated climate-economy model to evaluate the ethical assumptions used in analysis of global mitigation targets and the social cost of carbon and was awarded Best Dissertation.
- Ou, Y., Roney, C., Alsalam, J. et al. Deep mitigation of CO2 and non-CO2 greenhouse gases toward 1.5°C and 2°C futures. Nat Commun 12, 6245 (2021).
- Evan J. Arbuckle, Matthew Binsted, Evan G.R. Davies, Diego V. Chiappori, Candelaria Bergero, Muhammad-Shahid Siddiqui, Christopher Roney, Haewon C. McJeon, Yuyu Zhou, Nick Macaluso. Insights for Canadian electricity generation planning from an integrated assessment model: Should we be more cautious about hydropower cost overruns? Energy Policy, Volume 150, 2021, 112138
- Bistline, J., C. Roney, D. McCollum, and G. Blanford (2021). "Deep Decarbonization Impacts on Electric Load Shapes and Peak Demand." Environmental Research Letters, 16(9):094054.
Dr. Rose is a Senior Research Economist and Technical Executive in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Research Group. His research focuses on long-term modeling of socioeconomic system transitions, climate change drivers and management, and potential climate risks.
Steve’s research has explored topics such as climate-related risk assessment, strategy, and goal setting, the estimation and use of the social cost of carbon and other greenhouse gases, climate change impacts, risks, responses, and resilience, long-run climate management strategy and policy design, mitigation institutions, investment risks and incentives, and the role of natural climate solutions, land use, and bioenergy in climate management.
Steve was a member of the National Academy of Sciences’ Committee on Updating the Social Cost of Carbon, the Task Force for Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) Advisory Group, and was a lead author on climate impacts, economic damages, and climate scenarios for the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report. Steve was also a lead author for the U.S. National Climate Assessment, a member of the U.S. Carbon Cycle Science Program Carbon Cycle Scientific Steering Group, and an expert panelist on U.S. EPA’s Science Advisory Board panel on Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Biogenic Sources. Steve also sits on the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium’s Scientific Steering Group and is a member of the Scientific Working Group on Scenarios for Climate-related Financial Analysis.
Steve has a PhD in economics from Cornell University, and an undergraduate degree in economics with mathematical emphasis from the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
- Rose et al, 2022. Estimating Global Economic Impacts from Climate Change. In Climate Change 2022: Climate Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC, Chapter 16.
- Guivarch et al, 2022. Economic benefits from avoided climate impacts along long-term mitigation pathways. In Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC, Chapter 3.
- Schipper et al, 2022. Climate Resilient Development Pathways. In Climate Change 2022: Climate Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC, Chapter 18.
- Rose et al, 2022. Global biomass supply modeling for long-run management of the climate system. Climatic Change, in press.
- Rose and Young, 2021. Repairing the Social Cost of Carbon: Immediate Steps for Scientifically Reliable Estimates and Use. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2021. 3002020523.
- Hytowitz et al, 2021. What does carbon pricing mean for electricity markets? EPRI, Palo Alto, CA. #3002021815.
- Fischer et al, 2021. Library of potential types of climate-related impacts and response options for the electric power system. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA. #3002023261.
- Rose, S, D Diaz, 2021. IPCC’S 2021 Climate Science Assessment Report: High-Level Technical Summary and Perspectives. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA. #3002023094.
- Diaz et al, 2021. Extreme Weather and Climate Resilience: Insights on future weather extremes for company planning and resource adequacy. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA. #3002022590.
- Rose, 2020. The Value of Carbon Dioxide Removal: Opportunities for Global Climate Management, the Electric Sector, and Companies. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2020. #3002016604.
- Rose et al, 2020. An overview of the Energy Modeling Forum 33rd study: Assessing large-scale global bioenergy deployment for managing climate change. Climatic Change 163, 1539–1551.
- Rose and Scott, 2020. Review of 1.5˚C and Other Newer Global Emissions Scenarios: Insights for Company and Financial Climate Low-Carbon Transition Risk Assessment and Greenhouse Gas Goal Setting. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA. 3002018053.
- Rose and Scott, 2018. Grounding Decisions: A Scientific Foundation for Companies Considering Global Climate Scenarios and Greenhouse Gas Goals. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA. 3002014510.
- Bistline and Rose, 2018. Social Cost of Carbon Pricing of Power Sector CO2: Accounting for Leakage and Other Social Implications from Subnational Policies, Environmental Research Letters 13 014027.
- Huppmann et al, 2018. IAMC 1.5°C Scenario Explorer and Data hosted by IIASA. Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium & International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
- Cropper et al, 2017. Valuing Climate Damages: Updating Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Committee on Assessing Approaches to Updating the Social Cost of Carbon. Washington, DC: National Academies Press.
- Rose et al, 2017. The Paris Agreement and Next Steps in Limiting Global Warming. Climatic Change 142(1), 255-270.
- Rose et al, 2017. Understanding the Social Cost of Carbon: A Model Diagnostic and Inter-Comparison Study, Climate Change Economics 8 (2).
Dr. Nidhi R. Santen is a Principal Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). She manages Program 178 on Resource Planning for Electric Power Systems and Project Set 178B on Integrated Energy Planning. Her primary research areas include long-term electricity sector resource planning, risk analysis and investment decision-making under uncertainty, and environmental and technology policy analysis.
Before joining EPRI, Dr. Santen worked at the MIT Energy Initiative on low-carbon electricity infrastructure planning, electricity market design, and hybrid modeling of economy-wide and electric power systems modeling tools. She also worked as a research fellow and project manager with the Energy Technology Innovation Policy research group at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government, where she improved how uncertainty and technological change are represented within long-term energy planning models. For over a decade prior to that, Dr. Santen worked on electricity planning and environmental issues across industry, consulting, and non-governmental research organizations including CPS Energy, Synapse Energy Economics, and the National Academy of Sciences.
Nidhi holds a Ph.D. in Engineering Systems from MIT, an M.S. and M.P.A. in Atmospheric Science and Environmental Policy from Indiana University-Bloomington, and a B.A. from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
- Analyzing Federal Clean Energy Standards: Policy Design Choices and Future Electric Power Sector Outcomes. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2021. EPRI Technical Brief. 3002020121.
- Cost-Effectively Achieving Carbon Goals in Minnesota: Renewable Standards vs. Technology-Neutral Policies—A scenario-based analysis of electric-sector impacts through 2050. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2019. EPRI Technical Brief. 3002015420
- Santen, N.R., Webster, M.D., Popp, D., and Perez-Arriaga, I., 2017. "Inter-temporal R&D and capital investment portfolios for the electricity industry's low carbon future." The Energy Journal Vol. 38(5).
- Santen, N.R. and Diaz Anadon, L., 2016. "Balancing solar PV deployment and RD&D: A comprehensive framework for managing innovation uncertainty in electricity technology investment planning." Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 60: 560-569.
Heidi Scarth is an Engineer/Scientist I at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). She is a member of the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis team, where she works primarily on policy analysis, the social cost of carbon and other greenhouse gases, and state-level electrification analyses. In addition, Ms. Scarth works with EPRI's Technical Innovation sector, where she identifies and analyzes emerging technological trends, and co-leads the Value of Resilience Interest Group.
Ms. Scarth holds dual Bachelor of Arts degrees in Government and Economics, and a certificate in International Relations from Wesleyan University.
- Scarth, L. Millet. Towards a Healthy Planet: Environmental Opportunities and Costs of the Clean Energy Transition. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2022. 3002023280.
- Kaun, A. Maitra, N. Tumilowicz, D. Grandas, S. Mullen-Trento, H. Scarth. Wildfires and Public Safety Power Shutoffs: Distributed Energy Resources for Community Electricity Resilience. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2021. 3002017505.
- S. Mullen-Trento, H. Scarth. Identifying the Gaps and Challenges of Resilience Valuation. EPRI Report 3002020795.
- H. Scarth, E. Smith, D. Diaz. Quick Insight: Extreme Cold Events, Changing Climate Threats, and Power System Infrastructure Resiliency. EPRI Report 3002022454.
- Program on Technology Innovation: EPRI Insights, June 2021. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2021. 3002021729.
Dr. Ridwan Siddique is an Engineer/Scientist III in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). His main research areas are regional and global scale hydroclimatic modeling, analysis and prediction of extreme events, uncertainty quantification and climate risk assessment. Dr. Siddique's current research activities examine weather and climate impacts on renewable energy and electric power sector to facilitate climate resiliency and adaptation planning.
Before joining EPRI, he worked for the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and USGS Northeast Climate Adaptation Science Center (NECASC). His dissertation was focused on improving short- to medium-range weather and flood forecasts and quantifying their associated uncertainties. He also has experiences working with different federal, state and private organizations like NOAA, NASA, Massachusetts State Office of Energy and Environment, MassDOT, and Idaho Power on climate analysis and research collaborations.
Dr. Siddique received his PhD from the Pennsylvania State University in Civil Engineering with a major in Hydrology and Water Resources and minor in Computational Science. He earned his MS from University of Texas at Arlington and BS from Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology.
- Siddique, R., A. Mejia, N. Mizukami & R. Palmer, 2021. Impacts of global warming of 1.50C, 2.00C and 3.00C on hydrologic regimes in the northeastern U.S. Climate 2021, 9(1), 9;
- Siddique, R. & R. Palmer, 2021. Climate change impacts on local flood risks in the U.S. northeast: A Case Study on the Connecticut and Merrimack River Basins." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 1–21.
- Siddique, R., A. Karmalkar, F. Sun & R. Palmer, 2020. Hydrological extremes across the Commonwealth of Massachusetts in a changing climate. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 32, 100733
- Sharma, S., R. Siddique, S. Reed, P. Ahnert & A. Mejia, 2019. Hydrological model diversity enhances streamflow forecast skill at short‐ to medium‐range timescales. Water Resources Research, 55, 1510– 1530.
Erik Smith is an Engineer/Scientist II in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI).
At EPRI, Dr. Smith supports research on climate impacts and resiliency of the electric power sector. His research examines how climate change will alter weather extremes in order to pinpoint future vulnerabilities and mitigate impacts. His dissertation used climate model output from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) to determine how Cold Air Outbreaks (CAOs) might change in the coming decades. He has also worked with research groups from NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to create a timeseries model of Great Lakes Water Clarity, develop extreme event climate change indicators relating to human thermal comfort, and assess predictability of anomalous coastal sea-levels from atmospheric patterns.
Dr. Smith is received his PhD in Geography from Kent State University, where he also received an MA in Geography, and has a BS in Meteorology from Western Kentucky University.
- Smith, Erik, and Sheridan, S. C. (2020). "Where do Cold Air Outbreaks occur and how have they changed?" Geophysical Research Letters: doi.org/10.1029/2020GL086983.
- Sheridan, S. C., Lee, C. C., & Smith, E. T. (2020). "A comparison between station observations and reanalysis data in the identification of extreme temperature events." Geophysical Research Letters: doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10502708.1.
- Smith, Erik, Lee, C. C., Pirhalla, D., Ransibrahmanakul, V. Chuanmin, H., Barnes, B. B., & Sheridan, S. C. (2019). "A synoptic climatological analysis of the atmospheric drivers of water clarity variability in the Great Lakes." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology: doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0156.1.
- Smith, Erik, and Sheridan, S. C. (2019). "The Influence of Extreme Cold Events on Mortality in the United States." Science of the Total Environment: doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.07.466.
Andrea Staid is a Senior Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Her research focuses on risk and resilience analysis for energy infrastructure planning and operational decision-making. Through this, Andrea works to integrate multisource data into system models to best represent real-world complexities and impacts from extreme events.
Prior to joining EPRI, Andrea worked for Sandia National Laboratories in the Center for Computing Research, with projects covering topics on natural hazard impact modeling for interdependent infrastructure systems, scenario creation to capture renewable energy production uncertainties, and coupling climate risk with infrastructure vulnerabilities. She also worked to advance data analytic methods and implementation across a range of national security applications.
Andrea received her MS and PhD degrees in Environmental Systems Engineering from Johns Hopkins University and her BS in Aerospace Engineering from MIT.
- Gilletly, S.D., Jackson, N.D., Staid, A. (2021). Quantifying Wildfire-Induced Impacts to Photovoltaic Energy Production in the western United States. IEEE 48th Photovoltaic Specialists Conference (PVSC), 2021, pp. 1619-1625.
- Bynum, M., Staid, A., Arguello, B., Castillo, A., Knueven, B., Laird, C. D., & Watson, J. P. (2021). Proactive Operations and Investment Planning via Stochastic Optimization to Enhance Power Systems’ Extreme Weather Resilience. Journal of Infrastructure S
- Alemazkoor, N., Rachunok, B., Chavas, D. R., Staid, A., Louhghalam, A., Nateghi, R., & Tootkaboni, M. (2020). Hurricane-induced power outage risk under climate change is primarily driven by the uncertainty in projections of future hurricane frequency. Sci
- Rachunok, B., Staid, A., Watson, J. P., & Woodruff, D. L. (2020). Assessment of wind power scenario creation methods for stochastic power systems operations. Applied Energy, 268, 114986.
Silas Swanson is an Engineer/Scientist I in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at EPRI. He provides support throughout the group's research activities and works with EPRI's Technology Innovation sector to produce strategic insights on near-term technology trends.
Prior to EPRI, Silas was a Research Assistant at the Center on Global Energy Policy's (CGEP) energy modelling team where he analyzed data on electricity demand and technology baselines and was trained in VEDA-TIMES. He also worked at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in the Grid Modernization initiative, the Columbia Electrochemical Energy Center, and in ICF's energy markets practice.
Silas holds a B.S. in Earth and Environmental Engineering and a B.A. in Philosophy from Columbia University.
Dr. John Taber is a Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Research Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). His research areas include the impact of environmental policies on the evolution of the power system, modeling state policy in electricity system planning, and the interaction of markets and grid resiliency and reliability. Before joining EPRI, Dr. Taber worked for the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission as an Economist in the Office of Energy Policy and Innovation, where he focused on quantitative analysis of recent and proposed policy changes, especially those involving ancillary service markets, RTO/ISO seams, non-economic offer parameters, and capacity markets.
Dr. Taber has also served as an adjunct professor at the University of Maryland, College Park and Georgetown University, teaching classes in Energy Policy.
He holds a Bachelor of Science in Physics and a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from the Ohio State University and a Master's of Science and a doctorate in Applied Economics and Management from Cornell University, specializing in energy and environmental economics.
- Ho, Ben, John Taber, Gregory Poe, Antonio Bento. "The Effects of Moral Licensing and Moral Cleansing in Contingent Valuation and Laboratory Experiments on Willingness to Pay to Reduce Negative Externalities." Environmental and Resource Economics June 2016 64(2),317-340
- Shawhan, Daniel, John Taber, di Shi, Ray Zimmerman, Jubo Yan, Charles Marquet, Yingying Qi, Biao Mao, Richard Schuler, William Schulze, Daniel Tylavsky, "Does a Detailed Model of the Electricity Grid Matter? Estimating the Impacts of the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative." Resource and Energy Economics January 2014 36(1), 191-207.
- Schmitt, Todd, Bradley Rickard, John Taber. "Consumer Valuation of Environmentally Friendly Production Practices in Wines, Considering Asymmetric Information and Sensory Effects." Journal of Agricultural Economics November 2012 64(2), 483-504.
Dr. Karen Tapia-Ahumada is a Senior Technical Leader in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI).
Before joining EPRI, Dr. Tapia-Ahumada worked as a Research Scientist at the MIT Energy Initiative on a wide range of energy-related projects with a focus on the economic and regulatory modeling and analysis of energy systems, distributed energy resources and end-use technologies, renewable energy generation, and the techno-economic assessment of integrated energy systems. She worked on topics such as the impact of distributed energy resources and the role of rate design in their deployment, and the evolution of electric power systems under deep decarbonization goals.
Karen holds a Ph.D. in Engineering Systems and a M.S. in Technology and Policy both from MIT. Before that, she received her B.S. and a M.S. in Industrial Electrical Engineering from the Pontifical Catholic University of Chile.
- Mei Yuan, Karen Tapia-Ahumada, John Reilly. “The role of cross-border electricity trade in transition to a low-carbon economy in the Northeastern U.S.”, Energy Policy, Volume 154, 2021
- Duenas-Martinez, P., Tapia-Ahumada, K., Hodge, J., Miller, R., Parsons, J. “Challenges and Opportunities for Decarbonizing Power Systems in the US Midcontinent”, MIT CEEPR Working Paper Series CEEPR WP 2021-011, July 2021.
- Tapia-Ahumada, K., J. Reilly, M. Yuan and K. Strzepek (2019). “Deep Decarbonization of the U.S. Electricity Sector: Is There a Role for Nuclear Power?”, Joint Program Report Series Report 338, September, 22 p.
Dr. Thomas Wilson is a Principal Technical Executive in Strategic Analysis, Safety, and Sustainability at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). His research activities focus on a variety of climate-related issues: costs of alternative policies and the role of technology R&D in potentially reducing these costs, exploring mechanisms for allowing flexibility in domestic and international climate policies and their interactions with regulatory approaches, and providing information and methods to help electric utilities make decisions in the face of climate policy uncertainty.
Dr. Wilson joined EPRI in as a Project Manager in the Risk Analysis program in the Environment Sector, where his activities focused on risk management for a variety of environmental issues (e.g., global climate change, acidic deposition, electromagnetic fields, air toxics, and non-combustion wastes), and decision support methodologies (e.g., technology choice, siting, and making decisions involving multiple objectives and multiple stakeholders).
Before joining EPRI, Dr. Wilson worked at ICF Incorporated, Stanford's Energy Modeling Forum and International Energy Program, and Brookhaven National Laboratory. He earned a bachelor's degree in Statistics from the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill and master's and doctoral degrees in Operations Research from Stanford University.
- Rose, S.K. D. Turner, G. Blanford, J. Bistline, F. de la Chesnaye, and T. Wilson, 2014. Understanding the Social Cost of Carbon: A Technical Assessment. EPRI Report 3002004657.
- Hibbard, K., Wilson, T. Averyt, K. Harriss, R., Newmark, R., Rose, S., Shevliakova, E., Tidwell, V., 2014: Ch. 10: Energy, Water, and Land Use. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment, J. M. Melillo, Terese Richmond, and G. W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. Global Change Research Program.
- Contributing Author, 2014. Drivers, Trends and Mitigation (Chapter 5), Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Fifth Assessment Report, Mitigation Working Group (Working Group III), Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Dr. David Young is a Program Manager and the Area Manager for the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Dr. Young manages the Energy, Environmental, and Climate Policy Analysis program, which helps energy companies assess the impacts of climate policy on business and compliance strategies, understand the benefits and risks of new technologies, and assess the impacts of environmental policies at state and regional levels. Dr. Young also supports EPRI's US-REGEN energy-economy model.
Before joining EPRI, Dr. Young was a research fellow at the University of Auckland Business School Energy Centre. His work there focused on designing and programing an agent-based simulation model of the New Zealand wholesale electricity market to understand market behavioral changes in response to the increasing use of intermittent generation.
Dr. Young earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Economics and Mathematics from the University of Canterbury and Master of Science and doctoral degrees in Social Science/Economics from the California Institute of Technology.
- Bistline, J. and Young, D. 2020 "Emissions Impacts of Future Battery Storage Deployment on Regional Power Systems", Applied Energy
- Bistline, J. and Young, D. 2019 "Drivers of Economic Wind and Solar Penetration in the United States", Environmental Research Letters
- Young, D. and Bistline, J. 2018 "The Costs and Value of Renewable Portfolio Standards in Meeting Decarbonization Goals", Energy Economics.
- Downward, A., Young, D., and Zakeri, Z., 2016. "Electricity Retail Contracting Under Risk-Aversion", European Journal of Operations Research.
Dr. Qianru Zhu is an Engineer/Scientist II in the Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI).
At EPRI, Dr. Zhu supports research on integrated planning and capacity expansion modeling. In her dissertation, she analyzed climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies at diverse scales by applying optimization, risk analysis, and techno-economic modeling frameworks. She collaborated with an interdisciplinary team to integrate political-organizational and techno-economic considerations to analyze decarbonization pathways for the U.S. She also collaborated with researchers from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) to conduct case studies of the economic impacts of power interruptions to electricity system infrastructure from extreme events.
Before joining EPRI, Dr. Zhu completed her PhD in Operations Research and Industrial Engineering at the University of Texas at Austin, where she was also a Trainee of INFEWS (Innovation at the Nexus of Food-Energy-Water Systems) NSF Research Traineeship Program. She earned a BS in Mathematics and a BS in Economics from Penn State.
- Zhu, Q, Leibowicz, B.D., Busby, J.W., Shidore S., Adelman, D.E. , Olmstead, S. M., 2022, Enhancing Policy Realism in Energy System Optimization Models: Politically Feasible Decarbonization Pathways for the United States. Energy Policy, Volume 161, 112754.
- Zhu, Q. and Leibowicz, B.D., 2022, A Markov Decision Process Approach for Cost-Benefit Analysis of Infrastructure Resilience Upgrades. Risk Analysis.
- Sanstad, A. H., Zhu, Q., Leibowicz, B.D., Larsen, P.H., and Eto,J.H., 2020, Case Studies of the Economic Impacts of Power Interruptions and Damage to Electricity System Infrastructure from Extreme Events.
- Zhu, Q., Leibowicz, B.D., 2020, Vehicle Efficiency Improvements, Urban Form, and Energy Use Impacts. Cities 97, 102486.