Transportation in Net-Zero Emissions Futures: Insights from the EMF-37 Model Intercomparison Study

Status: Published

**Citation:**Hoehne, H; Muratori, M; Bistline, J; Lenox, C; McCollum, D; Browning, M; Podkaminer, K; Beach, RH; Orvis, R; Ou, S; Kyle, P; Lie, S; Mahajan, M; McJeon, H; Ledna, C; Melaina, M; Cai, Y; Ramig, C; Bahreinian, A; Victor, N & Weyant, J. 2025. Transportation in net-zero emissions futures: Insights from the EMF-37 model intercomparison study. Published in ENERGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE 6 (100211).

This study evaluates the role of the transportation sector in net-zero emissions scenarios. This paper and analysis, conducted by the Stanford Energy Modeling Forum, evaluates the participating models’ net-zero scenarios for their range of characteristics within the transport sector and broader energy system. The study finds consensus in the role of electrification across scenarios, though rates of electrification and emissions reduction, as well as the role of hydrogen and biofuels, remain uncertain and varies across the range of studied scenarios. The authors recommend additional study to understand how opportunities for mode shift or behavior change could affect the role of the transport sector and overall demand for energy.

Link to Journal Publication: Transportation in net-zero emissions futures: Insights from the EMF-37 model intercomparison study - ScienceDirect

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