**Status:**Published
**Citation:**Bistline, JE; Hodson, EL; Rossmann, CG; Creason, JR; Murray, BC; Barron, AR. 2018. “Electric Sector Policy, Technological Change, and U.S. Emissions Reductions Goals: Results from the EMF 32 Model Intercomparison Project.” Published in Energy Economics 73:307–325.
The Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) 32 study compares a range of coordinated scenarios to investigate implications of U.S. climate policy and technological change on power sector planning. This paper synthesizes policy-related insights from the coordinated scenario analysis with 16 energy-economic models and presents results related to investment and generation outcomes, emissions reductions, and economic implications. Under a range of policy, technology, and market assumptions, model results suggest that declines in coal use will continue but would accelerate with carbon pricing. Generation from gas and renewables are likely to rise, but the extent of growth depends on policy and cost assumptions moving forward. In addition to the quantitative comparisons, the paper identifies research needs like cross-sectoral impacts of integrated energy systems, energy storage and flexibility options, and better coverage of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage in national models.
Link to Journal article: Energy Economics.